INDEPENDENT THINKING. EVERY GAME.● DESIGN PREVIEW · SAMPLE DATA
BETMETRICS.Inside the model
The game is in the details.
MLB predictionsSIM · DESIGN EXAMPLE
THE MATCHUP FILE

Padres at Dodgers.

First pitch · Sep 7, 8:00 PM CT / Dodgers · sample home venue

SAMPLE SNAPSHOT · Sep 7, 11:00 AM CT. All observations, decisions, inputs, scores and grades on this page are fictional design examples.
01 / THE DECISIONCurrent pick
SAMPLE MODEL OUTPUT

LAD to win.

68%

SIM · As of Sep 6, 8:00 PM CT

Lineup depth creates an edge against a taxed relief staff.

A decision is available for this snapshot. Read the inputs and the countercase.

02 / THE EXPLANATION

What moved the number.

SIM · As of Sep 6, 8:00 PM CT. The sample market starting point is 62%. These illustrative contributions are percentage points.

Lineup production

The sample lineup creates scoring chances across more batting-order positions.

+4.1 pp

Bullpen workload

The opposing relief group carries more recent innings in the sample.

+2.8 pp

Starting matchup

The opposing starter limits the early-game advantage.

-1.5 pp

Home setting

The sample home-field term makes a modest positive contribution.

+0.6 pp
03 / THE INPUT SNAPSHOT

The prices at capture.

Inputs belong to a specific decision receipt. Current prices are kept on the odds comparison page.

Run line
LAD −1.5 (+135) / SD +1.5 (−155)
Total
8.5 · Over −110 / Under −110
Moneyline
LAD −145 / SD +125

SIM market snapshot · full game · Captured Sep 6, 8:00 PM CT