November 18, 2026 · 6:00 PM CTCurrent pick · sample
Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder — matchup file
SIM · Illustrative game, decision and pricesCompare this game’s odds
THE MODEL’S VIEW
The pick, with the reasoning attached.
SAMPLE MODEL OUTPUTSIM · v0.1
61%Denver Nuggets
illustrative win probability
illustrative win probability
Shot quality starts the case.
Shot quality and ball security support the away side. Rebounding is the countercase.
- Shooting efficiency
- +8 pp
- Ball security
- +5 pp
- Home / road context
- 0 pp
- Opponent rebounding
- -2 pp
50% neutral baseline plus the displayed illustrative adjustments. This is a design explanation, not a fitted basketball model.
THE CAPTURED INPUTS
What went into the decision.
- Home spread · sample
- -2.5
- Total · sample
- 227.5
- Away moneyline · sample
- −145
- Home moneyline · sample
- +125
Illustrative capture 24 hours before this sample tip. The odds board is a separate comparison snapshot; it cannot overwrite a captured decision input.
- Decision receipt
- SIM:nba:1:receipt-v1
- Model version
- SIM-basketball-0.1 · Illustration only
- As of / captured
- 2026-11-18T00:00:00.000Z
- Input source
- Fictional design fixture · Not a provider record
- Game identity
- SIM:nba:1
THE TEAM CONTEXT · INDEPENDENT SAMPLE
DEN: the longer view.
THE FORM FILE · SAMPLE
Last 8 gamesFollow the form.
130.6 / gameSelected window
130.3 · full 12-game sample
130.3 · full 12-game sample
16713195
Game 5Game 12
Game value Full-sample rate
Zoom out. Find the signal.
Last 4Last 12
Fictional game series. Shooting rates use total makes and attempts in the selected window.
12-GAME TEAM SAMPLE
Denver Nuggets
- Points / G
- 130.3
- Rebounds / G
- 44.0
- Assists / G
- 20.3
- True shooting
- 57.7%
These independent team statistics demonstrate the context panel. They are not inputs to the illustrative model receipt above.
Open team profile