November 18, 2026 · 5:00 PM CTCurrent pick · sample
Duke Blue Devils at North Carolina Tar Heels — matchup file
SIM · Illustrative game, decision and pricesCompare this game’s odds
THE MODEL’S VIEW
The pick, with the reasoning attached.
SAMPLE MODEL OUTPUTSIM · v0.1
64%Duke Blue Devils
illustrative win probability
illustrative win probability
Shot quality starts the case.
Shot quality and ball security support the away side. Rebounding is the countercase.
- Shooting efficiency
- +8 pp
- Ball security
- +5 pp
- Home / road context
- +3 pp
- Opponent rebounding
- -2 pp
50% neutral baseline plus the displayed illustrative adjustments. This is a design explanation, not a fitted basketball model.
THE CAPTURED INPUTS
What went into the decision.
- Home spread · sample
- +3.5
- Total · sample
- 145.5
- Away moneyline · sample
- −145
- Home moneyline · sample
- +125
Illustrative capture 24 hours before this sample tip. The odds board is a separate comparison snapshot; it cannot overwrite a captured decision input.
- Decision receipt
- SIM:ncaab:0:receipt-v1
- Model version
- SIM-basketball-0.1 · Illustration only
- As of / captured
- 2026-11-17T23:00:00.000Z
- Input source
- Fictional design fixture · Not a provider record
- Game identity
- SIM:ncaab:0
THE TEAM CONTEXT · INDEPENDENT SAMPLE
DUKE: the longer view.
THE FORM FILE · SAMPLE
Last 8 gamesFollow the form.
104.8 / gameSelected window
104.6 · full 12-game sample
104.6 · full 12-game sample
13210169
Game 5Game 12
Game value Full-sample rate
Zoom out. Find the signal.
Last 4Last 12
Fictional game series. Shooting rates use total makes and attempts in the selected window.
12-GAME TEAM SAMPLE
Duke Blue Devils
- Points / G
- 104.6
- Rebounds / G
- 41.0
- Assists / G
- 20.8
- True shooting
- 59.6%
These independent team statistics demonstrate the context panel. They are not inputs to the illustrative model receipt above.
Open team profile