The market
- Prices identify the sportsbook and market.
- The recorded source time stays with the quote.
- Comparisons use the same matchup and selection.
- Missing prices are never treated as zero.
We publish what a model predicted and whether it was right.
BetMetrics brings the game, the market, and the model record together. You can read a published call, compare the recorded sportsbook prices, and follow the result with its original context.
Start with the record.
A win rate needs graded decisions. A return needs captured prices as well as results. When that evidence is missing, an unavailable figure is more useful than an invented number.
The track record shows its sample and dates. A model probability is an estimate, and published results do not promise future performance.
Where the numbers come from
GoalServe supplies the sports data used by the site: sportsbook odds, scores, schedules, teams, and players. Model decisions are separate records, with their own versions and publication times.
The model
- A recorded call carries its model output.
- A no-call keeps the reason for withholding a selection.
- A score alone does not establish a model grade.
- Current observations stay separate from saved records.
See the books and available markets on the odds board →
What the model actually does
MLB, NFL, and NCAAF models publish different kinds of output. Read the sport, the decision time, and the stated limits beside each record. A ranking, a win probability, and a predicted margin are different measurements.
Probability
An estimate of an outcome, not a guarantee that it will happen.
Price
A sportsbook observation with its own capture time, separate from the model.
Result
A grade bound to the recorded decision and its matching final outcome.
The sport-specific rules and limitations are explained inside the model →
Four things to check on every page
The time. A new page load does not make an older price or model record current. Read the source and decision timestamps.
The matchup. The teams, game date, and market need to agree before a quote can be compared with a decision.
The state. A pending decision, a no-call, an ungraded pick, and a graded loss have different meanings.
The evidence. An absent price, player statistic, or settlement stays unavailable until its source supplies it.
Who this is for
People who want to inspect a model and understand the numbers behind a game. Picks, prices, and records are available to browse without creating an account.
Start with a matchup, follow its analysis, and compare the published record with what actually happened.
Tell us when something is wrong
If a grade, price, team, or player record looks incorrect, send the page URL and the displayed source time so the specific record can be investigated.