- Score
- 10
- Record
- —
- Elo
- —
- Score
- 13
- Record
- —
- Elo
- —
Win and total probability unavailable. A cover margin is not a win probability.
Result observed .
Seahawks host Patriots at Lumen Field. Our projection for the total has not been published.
Loading model analysis. Checking the latest model snapshot for this matchup.
Quarterbacks
New England Patriots
Season passing leader unavailable · starter unconfirmed- Comp / att
- — / —
- Yards
- —
- TD / INT
- — / —
- Rating
- —
Seattle Seahawks
Season passing leader unavailable · starter unconfirmed- Comp / att
- — / —
- Yards
- —
- TD / INT
- — / —
- Rating
- —
Season passing production does not establish the next starting quarterback.
Our number vs the market
Chance of the under
Total probabilities unavailable. No total probability was published.
Edge vs the bet threshold
Threshold unavailable · no betting verdict
Checking the latest model snapshot for this matchup.
What the model used
Simulated final totals
Simulation outcomes have not been published for this matchup.
Every price on this game
Compare the same market and line across books. Captured quotes are not guaranteed current offers.
No comparable quotes
Pregame price comparison is closed after scheduled kickoff.
Line history
Line history unavailable: fewer than two successfully captured observations for this exact game.
Injuries
New England Patriots · Report unavailable
An exact-team injury report is unavailable. No injury-free status is implied.
Team report →Seattle Seahawks · Report unavailable
An exact-team injury report is unavailable. No injury-free status is implied.
Team report →Patriots at Seahawks
Sep 9, 2026, 7:20 PM CT · Week 1
Home-relative against the frozen home spread -3.0; it is not a win probability.
Frozen home spread -3.0 · frozen total 44.5. Historical error range (90%): -21.6 to +22.5 points. Positive means above the home cover threshold; it is not a calibrated probability.
Inputs at capture.
- Frozen home reference spread
- Seattle Seahawks -3.0
- Frozen game total
- 44.5 points · both teams combined
Source as of Sep 8, 2026, 6:50 PM CT · published Sep 8, 2026, 7:52 PM CT · snapshot observed Sep 10, 2026, 9:44 AM CT.
DATA & METHODOpen record details +
- Model version
- 031a960fd5e279d60da0821f34c3693d5d48f187c5504eba8e4557845d3c83d7
- Source artifact hash
- 2e45faf2dc265b987d25faf4868ad1b2af7ec8bd170ab06181bd9e28ae4cb00b
- Receipt hash
- 1d042813986a76b66b2ad501c79d1d5c905fe2dcae459895568ecd34f7ff0287
- Decision hash
- 2e45faf2dc265b987d25faf4868ad1b2af7ec8bd170ab06181bd9e28ae4cb00b
- Settlement hash
- No bound settlement
- Record identity
- goalserve:nfl / 278946
- Saved cycle; no NFL outcome or evaluation source is bound.

