Indianapolis Colts: Week 5 Recap & Week 6 Forecast

Week 5 · 2025 · October 10, 2025

Las Vegas Raiders
6

Indianapolis Colts
40

Biggest surprise team. Daniel Jones has career-highs in passer rating, yards/game, completion %. Jonathan Taylor has 7 total TDs, leads NFL in rushing (480 yards). Offense ranks 2nd in EPA (0.16), 1st in success rate (50%), 1st in yards per play (6.5), 4th in scoring (30.8 PPG).

Analytics

  • Offense: 2nd in EPA per play (0.16)
  • 1st in offensive success rate (50%)
  • 1st in yards per play (6.5)
  • 4th in scoring (30.8 PPG)
  • Jonathan Taylor: 480 rushing yards (leads NFL), 7 total TDs, 73% success rate on man/gap concepts
  • Daniel Jones: 4th in total EPA, 4th in EPA per play, career-high 70.2% completion, zero fumbles

Injuries

Injuries: K Spencer Shrader (knee) OUT. WR Alec Pierce (concussion) OUT. Multiple others questionable.

Betting Intel

Betting Dominance: 4-1 ATS (80%). Week 6: Colts -5.5 vs Cardinals. Total: 47.5 O/U. Public: 71% bets, 78% money on Colts.

Fantasy Deep Dive

Fantasy Goldmine: Jonathan Taylor elite RB1 (121.3 fantasy points, 2nd at position). Daniel Jones streaming QB1. Michael Pittman Jr. WR2 with upside vs Cardinals.

Week 5 Forecast:

Forecast: Cardinals mentally destroyed after blowing 21-3 lead. Kyler Murray (foot) questionable. Colts at home dominate 31-20.

BEST BET: Colts -5.5 | OVER 47.5 | Taylor Over 87.5 rush yards