Jacksonville Jaguars: Week 5 Recap & Week 6 Forecast

Week 5 · 2025 · October 10, 2025

Kansas City Chiefs
31

Jacksonville Jaguars
28
Team Dashboard

Blew 14-0 lead for 3rd one-score loss of season. Mahomes threw 318 yards but couldn't close. Teams no longer fear Chiefs in close games. Aura is gone. Xavier Worthy (ankle) swelled on flight, status uncertain Week 6.

Analytics

  • 3rd one-score loss of the season (blew 14-0 lead)
  • Mahomes: 318 passing yards but couldn't close
  • Defense allowed 99-yard pick-six
  • 2-3 both straight up and ATS
  • Teams no longer fear KC in close game situations

Injuries

Key Injuries: WR Xavier Worthy (ankle) - swelled up on flight to Jacksonville, was questionable Week 5 but did play. Status for Week 6 is uncertain - monitor practice reports closely throughout the week.

Betting Intel

Betting: 2-3 ATS. Market adjusted. Week 6: Chiefs -1.5 vs Lions (SNF). Total: 49.5-50.5 O/U. Split 50/50 bets and money.

Fantasy Deep Dive

Fantasy: Mahomes still QB1 but not elite tier. RBBC - avoid Chiefs RBs. Xavier Worthy boom/bust WR3. Travis Kelce TE1 but TD-dependent.

Week 5 Forecast:

THE SUNDAY NIGHT STATEMENT GAME: Lions (4-1) are legitimate Super Bowl contenders. Chiefs need this to save season. Shootout expected. Lions win 31-28.

BEST BET: Lions +1.5 | OVER 49.5-50.5 (SMASH THIS)