Washington Commanders: Week 5 Recap & Week 6 Forecast

Week 5 · 2025 · October 10, 2025

Los Angeles Chargers
27

Washington Commanders
10

Allowed 27 unanswered. Herbert pressured constantly. OL dominated - Giants recorded 68% pass rush win rate vs Chargers Week 4 (highest since metric introduced 2017). Omarion Hampton (ankle) headed to IR per HC.

Analytics

  • Blew 10-0 lead, allowed 27 unanswered points
  • Herbert took 4 sacks, pressured constantly
  • OL dominated: 68% pass rush win rate allowed Week 4 (highest since 2017)
  • Defense: Top-5 in scoring (4th), total defense (3rd), passing defense (5th)
  • Offense elite when Herbert is protected, bottom-tier when he's not

Injuries

Major Injuries: RB Omarion Hampton to IR (multiple weeks). OL Trey Pipkins, Mekhi Becton didn't return Week 5. OL depth tested.

Betting Intel

Week 6: Chargers -5.5 at Dolphins. Total: 44.5 O/U. Public: 72% bets, 68% money on Chargers.

Fantasy Deep Dive

Fantasy: Herbert QB1 vs Dolphins (allow 7th-most fantasy points to QBs). Keenan Allen fastest to 1,000 receptions - WR2. Puka Nacua (588 yards, leads WRs) elite WR1. Gus Edwards lead back - volume RB2.

Week 5 Forecast:

Forecast: Chargers better but -5.5 on road is risky. Win 27-20, don't cover.

BEST BET: Dolphins +5.5 | UNDER 44.5