Las Vegas Raiders: Week 5 Recap & Week 6 Forecast

Week 5 · 2025 · October 10, 2025

Indianapolis Colts
6

Las Vegas Raiders
40
Team Dashboard

Complete disaster. Geno Smith leads NFL with 7 INTs (all on passes 10+ yards). Deep passing broken. Weapons are there (Ashton Jeanty, Brock Bowers) but QB play sinking ship.

Analytics

  • Geno Smith: 7 INTs (leads NFL), all on passes 10+ yards
  • 3rd-most INTs by any QB through first 4 weeks since 2016
  • Offense ranks dead last in EPA per play
  • Defense ranks bottom-10 in EPA allowed
  • 1-4 ATS (20% cover rate) - market has abandoned them

Injuries

Injuries: TE Brock Bowers (knee) - questionable, didn't practice Thu/Fri but expects to play. TE Michael Mayer (concussion) - questionable.

Betting Intel

Betting: 1-4 ATS (20%). Week 6: Raiders -5.5 vs Titans. Public fading Raiders: 58% bets on Titans.

Fantasy Deep Dive

Fantasy Salvage: Brock Bowers elite TE1 when healthy (8-10 targets). Ashton Jeanty volume RB2/Flex. Davante Adams WR2 despite QB issues. AVOID Geno Smith.

Week 5 Forecast:

Forecast: See Titans writeup. Raiders dysfunctional vs Titans with momentum.

BEST BET: Titans ML +180 or Titans +5.5