Atlanta Falcons Week 4 Recap: Analytics, Injuries, Betting & Fantasy

Full team dashboard: https://betmetrics.ai/nfl/teams/atlanta-falcons/

Game result: Atlanta bounced back strong, defeating Washington 34–27 at home. Michael Penix Jr. threw for 313 yards and 2 touchdowns in an efficient performance that showcased his arm talent and decision-making.

Analytics: The Falcons offense was highly efficient, generating 0.61 EPA per pass play as Penix Jr. carved up Washington’s secondary. Atlanta totaled 425 yards while converting 8-of-14 third downs. The defense bent but didn’t break, forcing two key turnovers and holding Washington to field goals in the red zone on two occasions. Atlanta controlled time of possession and dictated tempo throughout.

Injuries: No significant injuries were reported, though safety Jessie Bates III briefly exited with a shoulder stinger before returning. The team appears healthy heading into Week 5.

Betting: Atlanta was a 2.5-point underdog but covered easily, improving to 3-1 ATS. The over (44.5) hit as both offenses found success, particularly through the air.

Fantasy: Michael Penix Jr. delivered QB1 numbers with 313 yards and 2 TDs, establishing himself as a streaming option. Drake London was heavily targeted and posted WR1 numbers. Bijan Robinson’s dual-threat ability (85 rushing yards, 45 receiving yards) makes him a locked-in RB1 weekly.