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Kansas City Chiefs Week 4 Recap: Analytics, Injuries, Betting & Fantasy

Kansas City Chiefs — Chiefs odds, picks, and betting trends. Track market movement, efficiency, and projections for KC.

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Game result: Kansas City made a statement, crushing Baltimore 37–20 at Arrowhead Stadium. Patrick Mahomes threw 4 TDs as the Chiefs improved to 2-2 after an 0-2 start.

Analytics: The Chiefs offense exploded for 380 yards and scored on 7 of their first 8 possessions (4 TDs, 3 FGs). Mahomes completed 25-of-37 for 270 yards and 4 TDs (his 18th career 4+ TD game). Xavier Worthy’s return sparked the offense with 121 receiving yards. The defense held Derrick Henry to 42 yards on 8 carries and forced 2 Lamar Jackson turnovers before he exited with injury. This was KC’s first 30+ point game since Week 12 of 2024.

Injuries: Xavier Worthy returned from a shoulder issue and immediately made an impact. The offensive line, particularly Kingsley Suamataia, played clean and allowed zero pressures on 41 pass blocks. No major injuries reported.

Betting: Kansas City was a 2.5-point underdog but won outright, improving to 2-2 ATS. The under (48.5) stayed under despite KC’s offensive explosion.

Fantasy: Patrick Mahomes is back as an elite QB1 with 270 yards and 4 TDs. Xavier Worthy had 121 yards (WR2 upside). Isiah Pacheco, Tyquan Thornton, Hollywood Brown, and JuJu Smith-Schuster all caught TDs (spread the wealth). Travis Kelce had a quiet game but remains a TE1.