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Green Bay Packers Week 4 Recap: Analytics, Injuries, Betting & Fantasy

Green Bay Packers — Packers odds and data-backed picks. Efficiency splits, Lambeau trends, and projections for Green Bay.

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Game result: Green Bay Packers fought Dallas to a historic 40–40 tie on Sunday Night Football. Jordan Love threw for 3 touchdowns in an offensive showcase that became the second-highest scoring tie in NFL history.

Analytics: The Packers offense exploded for 425 yards while scoring at will against Dallas. Love completed 26-of-38 for 318 yards and 3 TDs with zero turnovers. Josh Jacobs rushed for 95 yards, giving Green Bay balance. However, the defense allowed 445 yards and couldn’t secure a stop in overtime. Micah Parsons (traded from Dallas) generated 7 QB pressures in his return. Special teams had a kick blocked, preventing a potential win.

Injuries: Left guard Aaron Banks (groin) and right tackle Zach Tom (oblique) both missed the game, weakening the offensive line. Getting both healthy during the bye week is critical. No new major injuries were reported.

Betting: Green Bay was a 6.5-point favorite but only managed a tie, failing to cover. The Packers are 2-1-1 ATS. The over (48.5) smashed in the highest-scoring game of the week.

Fantasy: Jordan Love delivered QB1 numbers with 318 yards and 3 TDs. Jayden Reed had 105 yards and a TD (WR1/2). Romeo Doubs caught a TD (WR3). Josh Jacobs rushed for 95 yards (solid RB2). The Packers’ offense is fantasy-friendly when Love is on.